Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 11.952898 13.427569 15.026295 16.890392 19.006924 21.338477 24.105752
2025-03-23 9.791032 11.753103 14.036642 16.898935 20.402430 24.565840 29.910418
2025-03-30 8.024475 10.209863 12.917590 16.537726 21.279169 27.316330 35.646909
2025-04-06 6.563777 8.799550 11.730631 15.886607 21.679448 29.543377 41.156162
2025-04-13 5.501618 7.736134 10.821231 15.440019 22.262919 32.100978 47.597123
2025-04-20 4.861005 7.149599 10.467917 15.700285 23.873394 36.367970 57.331941
2025-04-27 4.360951 6.687977 10.219860 16.067544 25.698535 41.268428 69.035461
2025-05-04 3.892736 6.203487 9.861550 16.198836 27.165902 45.854572 81.173916
2025-05-11 3.407890 5.622091 9.263501 15.837779 27.743493 49.043198 91.532839
2025-05-18 3.014185 5.135704 8.751361 15.537810 28.367945 52.411610 102.933952
2025-05-25 2.688878 4.721952 8.304848 15.281201 29.020481 55.935779 115.397210
2025-06-01 2.426418 4.384603 7.946920 15.130430 29.843472 59.927724 129.709216
2025-06-08 2.195040 4.080996 7.622493 15.019578 30.781820 64.444325 146.518640
2025-06-15 2.058203 3.938590 7.585367 15.481122 33.004821 72.151756 172.692663
2025-06-22 1.888093 3.709255 7.346760 15.486739 34.244229 77.936208 195.748294
2025-06-29 1.703050 3.426634 6.962959 15.119517 34.577032 81.688677 214.623903
2025-07-06 1.551397 3.194145 6.653141 14.868799 35.139390 86.116863 236.550830
2025-07-13 1.467902 3.095979 6.618733 15.248872 37.317342 95.106780 274.048573
2025-07-20 1.397191 3.016773 6.615497 15.703320 39.775276 105.387673 318.544996
2025-07-27 1.314989 2.901757 6.515788 15.904708 41.610450 114.376649 361.816813
2025-08-03 1.208751 2.719131 6.235324 15.603376 42.021163 119.386239 393.548061
2025-08-10 1.116043 2.557703 5.985855 15.346107 42.514558 124.773381 428.397473
2025-08-17 1.034243 2.413235 5.760443 15.120260 43.063588 130.478895 466.371956